Russie.Nei.Visions, No. 72,
is the product of cooperation between the Russia/NIS Center and the
Center for Asian Studies, Ifri.
Do the peace talks between Japan and Russia, reopened in
March 2013 by Shinzo Abe and Vladimir Putin, have any chance of
success? A window of opportunity has indeed opened for an historic
rapprochement between Russia and Japan. The two countries have
converging strategies and interests with regard to the key issues
surrounding energy cooperation and the balance of power in Asia. Tokyo
sees Moscow as a key player in its post-Fukushima energy policy, while
Japan is an essential partner for the development and integration of
Russia's Far East. In addition, the two countries share concerns over
the increasing power of China, which could threaten the multipolarity
of the region. By forging closer ties, Moscow and Tokyo can diversify
their diplomatic relations and provide a counterweight to Beijing. In
this new geopolitical climate, strengthening of shared strategic
interests should enable the territorial issue to be relegated to a
position of secondary importance.
Céline Pajon has been a Research Fellow at the Institut
Relations Internationales (French Institute for International
Relations, Ifri) Center for Asian Studies, and an international
Research Fellow at the Canon Institute for Global Studies (CIGS).